November 2006

Monthly Archive

Value Chain Analysis

Posted by klondike on 28 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Marketing

One of the most useful tools I have found for product introduction is the value chain analysis. A value chain analysis lets you map out all of the steps involved in getting a product to market. The chain starts with suppliers and finishes with the end customer. This tool is incredibly helpful in understanding your channels to market, margins along the chain and potential partnering opportunities.

The value chain shows how your product makes its way to the end customer. Secondly, with a bit of research, you can determine the selling prices and margins along each link in the path. Generally speaking the longer the path to the end customer the more links that will be sharing the same revenue. Therefore you will need to make allowances for sharing margins with your partners along the way. The more direct the path the more margin you will have, however, it will also be more work because you tend to be servicing more clients. Finally you need to understand your capabilities. If you are a small company with only a few sales people working with distributors, VAR’s or system integrators probably makes a whole lot of sense than selling direct.

I recall in the pre bubble burst days much hype about 3G technologies and the massiveness of the wireless service provider market. I remember back in 2000 constructing the value chain. While there was a lot of capacity being built in the networks a key piece of the puzzle was missing. Where were the end users? The availability of full function cell phones and PDA’s at the time did not exist. To take advantage of all the capacity being built you would need end customers with the capacity to drive bandwidth requirements. That capacity exists today but in 2000 it did not.

A properly constructed value chain can give you a good understanding or market dynamics and finding the optimal path to the end customer.

Cheers,

Ian Graham

Marshmallow Test

Posted by klondike on 25 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Lifelong Learning

Daniel Goleman authored the book “Emotional Intelligence” which describes the human brain, its’ functions and EQ(Emotional Quotient). EQ is similar in many respects to IQ, however, EQ is a better determinant in how successful someone will be over the course of their life in relating to others, building and maintaining relationships.

There is a test in the book called the marshmallow test. The marshmallow test is administered to children of about 4 years of age and has been found to be a remarkable predictor in how successful the children will be at establishing and achieving goals. The test is essentially a way of measuring if the child is capable of understanding consequences and delaying gratification for a future reward.

The test starts with the interviewer and the child sitting at a table. The interviewer offers the child a marshmallow that they can have immediately, or if they can wait for 15 minutes they will be rewarded with an extra marshmallow. The interviewer then gets a call and has to leave the room, again explaining that if the child waits for their return they will be rewarded with a second marshmallow, but they are free to have the marshmallow in front of them at anytime. If they do take the marshmallow in front of them they will not get the second marshmallow, if they wait they will be rewarded with two.

This simple test has been a great predictor in determining how successful children will be in later life. Those children that are able to understand the concept of delayed gratification, and wait for the second marshmallow, tend to be more goal oriented. The Children that act impulsively and eat the first marshmallow tend to be impulsive with less understanding
of future reward.

Cheers,

Ian Graham

Rogers Versus Bell part II

Posted by klondike on 22 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Business

Clash of the Titans Part II (Financial Round)   

As promised I have done some more research regarding the Bell versus Rogers battle. This post will be dedicated to a comparison of how the two fare from 2002 to 2005 on the financial front. Before I start the post I thought it important to declare my bias with respect to the Rogers and Bell. A pet peeve of mine is authors that pretend to be objective, when in fact they are biased. This was particularly troubling during the recent municipal elections. Many authors for the Ottawa Citizen wrote supposedly objective articles about the mayoral candidates while in fact being biased one way or the other. Therefore I wanted to state upfront that I like Rogers as a company and think Bell has to implement some significant changes to remain competitive. That being said I will endeavour to maintain objectivity while letting the facts speak for themselves.    I have also given some thought on how to structure the posts. 1)     Financial comparison 

2)     Subscriber Metrics (Wireless, Internet, Landline, Long Distance, total #, ARPU, OEPU, Churn, Retention) 

3)     Marketing Strategy, spend and results (COA,) 4)     Organizational structure 5)     Other stuff as I think of it   

If you have any topic you would like to see added to this series of posts please feel free to add a comment or send me a note    ian.graham @ klondikeconsulting.com spaces added for anti spam purposes.   Today’s post is related to financial metrics with respect to revenue and efficiency.   

Sales in millions 2002 - 2005 -        

 Bell Sales 2002 14,403; 2005 17,250 -        

Average Sales growth for period 6% 

Rogers Sales 2002 4,323; 2005 7,910 -         Average Sales growth for Period 18%   

Net Income 2002 – 2005 -         Bell 2002 – 3,455; 2005 – 3,755 -         Average Net Income growth –1%   

Rogers 2002 – 1,141; 2005 – 2,262 -         Average Net Income Growth – 20%    In the period from 2002 – 2005 Rogers has nearly doubled sales and Net Income and for the same period of time Bell has experienced moderate growth. The question you may be asking is how does Bell have an average sales growth of –1% when from 2002 – 2005 net income has increased. The reason for this is that from 2003 – 2004 Bells net income declined –42%. In my estimation a big part of the reason for this decline is the labour issues Bell had that year. In their annual report Bell indicates that the labour dispute cost them roughly $40M. Not sure where they came up with this number but I suspect the labour dispute probably cost them in the hundreds of millions of dollars range. In 2003 Bell NI was $3.8B and in 2004 $2.6B a huge decline and while revenue increased it was very moderate. Bells net margin percentage has hovered around the low 20% while Rogers is typically around 30%.   Efficiency   

Sales per Employee 2005, Rogers 376k; Bell 313k  Net Income per Employee 2005, Rogers 108k, Bell 68k Receivable turn over – 2005 Rogers   

Sales per employee while both have very healthy numbers Rogers consistently had the advantage. Rogers has an better NI per employee for the entire 2002 to 2005 period. In 2002 Rogers dedicated significant efforts to improving efficiencies and focused on profitability, which has been reflected in their margins and efficiency. Bell has since started such an initiative, however, their results have yet to reflect any improvement. Bell has made great strides improving receivable turn over and in 2005 had a very respectable 28 days, while Rogers receivable turnover hovers around 40 days.   Summary   On the financial front Rogers has consistently posted stronger numbers than Bell. In general I was much more impressed with the format and presentation of Rogers annual reports than Bell. Rogers presents their numbers in a very up front manner. Bell uses a lot of management analysis magic to make their numbers look better than they are, at least in my opinion. The winner of the financial round is Rogers.   Cheers,       

 

Ian Graham

 

 

 

 

Competitive Intelligence Cycle

Posted by klondike on 20 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Marketing, Business

Most of the material you find regarding competitive intelligence is related to how teams from large enterprise can go about monitoring the competition. The tack on this blog is geared more toward the individual entrepreneur or start-up business. The key differences, in my opinion between the entrepreneur and small business versus the large enterprise are; availability of resources (people, money), time and sources of information. Large enterprises typically have teams of people with budgets for procuring information and canned reports, entrepreneurs and small business typically have the founders doing research with very limited financial resources. Large enterprise tend to operate in more mature and slower moving markets, entrepreneurs are investigating opportunities in emerging or niche markets that are time sensitive. The key constraints on the entrepreneur are limited research resources, limited time and limited budget. These posts will take the perspective of the entrepreneur. 

  

It is important to keep in mind that competitive intelligence is a cyclic process of planning, gathering, analysing and communicating information. Establishing time frames for each of the phases in the competitive intelligence cycle is important to a successful project. Once you know how much time you have for the overall process you need to allocate time for the individual phases of the cycle. A recommended allocation of time for the competitive intelligence process follows; Planning 10% - 15%, Gathering 30% - 40%, Analysis 30% - 40% and Communication 10% - 15%. Remember the outcome of the competitive intelligence process is to make an informed decision and possibly a risk assessment based on your original objectives as determined in the planning phase. 

  

The two most common pitfalls in the competitive intelligence process are data overload (stuck in data gathering phase) and paralysis by analysis (stuck in analysis phase). This is why it is so important to put time frames for each phase. One could probably make a career of gathering data or generating new charts and graphs, however, keep in mind that the desired outcome of the process is a decision not reams of data or lots of charts and graphs. The 20/80 rule applies to both data gathering and analysis, you will probably obtain your most valuable information early in the cycle and while continuing to search will yield useful information the value in the decision making process will be minimal. 

  

Before you start gathering information make sure that you have clearly defined objectives. Competitive Intelligence objective include, but are not limited to, competitors business models, competitors pricing information, competitors product technical specifications, competitors distribution model (suppliers, partners, distributors) and the competitors promotional resources. The planning phase should take 10% to 15% of the overall competitive intelligence cycle. Proper planning adds focus to the entire cycle. 

  

My next post will be related to the competitive intelligence data-gathering phase. 

  

Cheers, 

  

Ian Graham

 

 

Marketing Looks

Posted by klondike on 18 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Marketing


A friend and  VP of Sales and Marketing explained his views on marketing collateral and the importance of considering marketing looks in the design process. In my opinion the same principles apply to websites and print ads.
 
A customer looking at an ad, collateral or website will give one to three looks. The three looks are:
 
-         2 second look,  (Attention)
-         20 second look and (Interest)
-         2 minute look (Desire)
 
The 2-second look is a quick glance at the head line picture or whatever and you need to capture the client’s attention. The goal of the 2-second look is to capture the target audience’s attention. If you pass the 2-second look you move on to the 20 second look. If you fail the 2-second look and do not get the attention of the target audience, that’s it, you’re done, game over.
 
The 20-second look should be a bit more detail to capture the target audience interest. Bullet form points are good for this because they can be easily read and quickly convey valuable information. The goal of the 20-second look is to have the target audience interested enough to want to read your copy and learn more about your product or service. Again if you fail the 20-second look and do not create interest that is it, game over, you are done.
 
If you make it to the 2 minute look that is good it means you have gained the target audiences attention and they want to learn more. The 2-minute look is usually some copy that describes at a reasonable level of detail more about your product or service. The goal of the 2-minute look should be to create a call to action for the target audience and generate a lead. The call to action should be how to contact you, an email address, a telephone number, a website URL or your physical location. The more interactive your call to action, the better the opportunity to warm the lead and convert it to a sale.
 
I have found that when you consider the marketing looks it helps you to develop more effective and targeted marketing material.
 
Cheers,
 
Ian Graham


 

Judo Marketing

Posted by klondike on 16 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Marketing

Des Cunnigham from Gandalf, for those with long memories in the Ottawa area, once said that if you have an idea there is a good chance that someone else has thought of it first. Case in point, today’s post about Judo Marketing. I thought I was being incredibly creative in coming up with the term Judo Marketing. Before writing the post I thought I would take a minute to Google the term Judo Marketing. Well, there is a website and book called Judo Marketing from two chaps in the UK; John Barnes and Richard Richardson.
 
I went to the Judo Marketing and had a look around. My thoughts are consistent with those of the two authors.  In Judo you use the weight of your opponent against them in various flips and throws. The concept Judo Marketing means using that you leverage other people’s strengths and assets to your advantage. This is particularly valuable for companies starting out that can leverage the strengths of their clients, partners and suppliers to help promote their company. You can also gain credibility and media attention for other purposes such as recruiting or to improve your corporate goodwill and build brand.
 
There are likely many ways that you can leverage the reputation of stakeholders in your company to your advantage. Be creative and think of win / win scenarios that will benefit you and the other stakeholders and your on your way to being a Judo marketer.
 
Cheers,


 

85% Rule

Posted by klondike on 14 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Product Lifecycle

Scott Lake from Shopify spoke to the eBusiness cluster a few weeks ago. The key take away that I had from his presentation was something he called the 85% Rule.   

The 85% rule is well worth considering for anyone involved in product development. The gist of the rule is essentially that no feature will be added to the product unless 85% of the customer base is requesting it. This helps to keep the design simple and functional. What a great concept.   

Having managed a mature product line at Alcatel I can attest to the fact that the greatest number of issues we had related to support were with respect to specialized one off features. The cost of developing one off short term features for very specific customer requests can cause considerable support issues for established product, require multiple software streams to support / maintain and often have a poor ROI over the life of the product.   

The advantages of using the 85% rule simplify the design up front and yield significant rewards over the life of the product.   

Cheers,    

Ottawa Startup Opportunities

Posted by klondike on 10 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Marketing, Business

I attended the joint eBusiness – Wireless cluster event at bitHeads last night. Jesse Boudreau, VP, BlackBerry Software, RIM and Christopher Sluss, Executive Account Director for TeleAtlas both gave excellent presentations. Free beer, great networking and the opportunity to learn about how RIM and their partners are working together, does it get any better than this, not bloody likely.   

I particularly enjoyed how RIM and TeleAtlas are working together in a truly win/win partnership. But wait it gets better, both TeleAtlas and RIM foster and encourage small and startup companies to work with them to develop applications. TeleAtlas in fact has a number of programs and cash incentives for startups. The incentives include cash for development, if you are approved, exposure to VC community and tons of great resources. The program is called Developerlink and Chris could probably provide more details on the specifics, the catch is you need to be developing applications in Internet mobile, geographically based applications. This seems like a great opportunity to me for Ottawa area application developers.   

Check out Chris’s presentation when it is made available on the eBusiness or Wireless cluster site.    

Cheers,

Business Strategy versus Exit Strategy

Posted by klondike on 08 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Product Lifecycle, Business

 The contrast between business strategy and exit strategy is a concept that I find fascinating. A business strategy is one where the owner’s intent from business concept to implementation is to care and nurture the business as a going concern. A labour of love so to speak. A business founded on an exit strategy is one where the owners want to grow the revenues as quickly as possible with the intent of achieving financial reward when the company is acquired or goes IPO. This is a concept that I first became aware of when attending a presentation by Wael Aggan CEO of Viasafe. 

   As you can probably tell from the tone at the start I am a proponent of “business strategies”. My thought is that companies with business strategies are in business for the long haul with the focus on growing the business. These types of companies tend to have their head offices in the city where they are founded and contribute positively to economic development. 

  Don’t get my wrong I have capitalistic tendencies and can understand and relate to the excitement of growing a business with the intent of exiting for profit. The key issue I have with the exit strategy is that most businesses that grow quickly and focus on the exit tend to become branch offices of other companies. I firmly believe that having corporate head offices locally is a significant economic advantage. The second issue that I have with exit strategy is that a company focused on the exit are probably working for short-term gain rather than long-term sustainability. In my opinion this violates a number of principles in Good to Great used to identify the principles of excellent companies. 

  The analogy I like to use to compare the two is a rancher (Exit Strategy) versus a parent (Business Strategy). A parent raises a child with the intent of having the child outlive them. The level of care a parent shows with a child is very different than that which a rancher would show toward his calf. Once the calf is ready for market the rancher quickly dispatches them and moves on to the getting the next calf ready for market. 

  In summary I think that there is likely a strong correlation between the long-term sustainability of a company and whether the founders started with a business strategy or an exit strategy.

Growth Stages

Posted by klondike on 03 Nov 2006 | Tagged as: Product Lifecycle, Business

Wendy Kennedy had a blog post sometime ago related to the stages that a company goes through. I have expanded and augmented the growth cycles to draft a version of the stages that a company goes through. The stages are with respect to focus and function. Here is my take on the stages that a company goes through:   

Concept -         Founders 

-         Focus: Evaluating options -         Function: formulating a business plan 

  Team Formation 

-         Founders + Key employees -         Focus: building team, evolving roles 

-         Function: product development -         Employees mainly product / service development staff 

-         Sweat equity -         Friends and family financing possibly Angels 

-         Initial product / service development   

Launch -         Founders + Key employees + Sales / Business Development 

-         Focus: Generating Revenue -         Function: Sales and marketing 

-         Continued product / service development and feature enhancement -         Product / Service ready for release 

-         Customer Trials / Initial Revenue -         Financing organically (through revenue stream) or outside investment possibly VC Series A, … 

  Revenue Growth 

-         Focus: Accelerating Revenue Generation -         Function: Sales and marketing 

-         Additional focus building Sales and Marketing efforts -         Partnering to compliment sales channels 

-         Expanded Business Development capabilities   

Portfolio Diversity -         Focus: Increased Revenue through new product introduction 

-         Function: Broadening Product Portfolio -         Increase development efforts to introduce new and complimentary product lines 

-         Continue to augment sales, marketing and business development   

Cheers, 

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